Pakistan Brokered Peace Push: Pakistan formally proposes Iran-US ceasefire mediation by May 15

28%

probability · 58% confidence · 44 days

Pakistan Brokered Peace Push forecast receives downward revision. New alerts show 'Trump administration cancels Iran peace delegation to Pakistan' and 'US envoys travel to Islamabad for Iran peace talks as diplomatic window narrows.' Cancellation of delegation contradicts mediation success. Forecast expires May 15; diplomatic window is narrowing, not opening. Revised from 82% to 28%.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.