Energy Crisis Spreads: Philippines fuel shortage forces 3+ power plants offline by May 10

82%

probability · 64% confidence · 30 days

Energy Crisis Spreads forecast (78% → 82%): Philippines fuel shortage + EU jet fuel disruptions + Russia pipeline threat create cascading energy crisis. Shipping delays confirmed at 21+ days. Probability increased 4 points as multiple geographic regions now showing simultaneous energy stress.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.