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Economic

Hajj Costs Soar: Muslim pilgrimage Hajj 2026 ticket prices rise 22%+ vs. 2025 due to Iran war energy spike

91%
probability · 71% confidence · 30 days
Hajj 2026 cost forecast updated based on Brent crude at $108.17 (up from baseline ~$95). Iran war energy disruption now confirmed with global supply chain impact. Hajj ticket price escalation from energy shock is materializing faster. Signal strength: critical alert on fertilizer industry warning, oil firms' huge profits reviving windfall tax calls, and geopolitical risk premium embedding in energy markets.
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Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.