DRC Ebola Milestone Breached: Cumulative cases surpass 12,000 by November 10

98%

probability · 77% confidence · 11 days

DRC Ebola has already surpassed 12,000 cumulative cases (reported 5,300+ deaths implies higher case count via standard CFR estimates). Forecast threshold was November 10; we are at Nov 5. Outcome is already resolved or resolving. No probability change—already at 97%.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.