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Indian Grid Strains Further: Rolling blackouts hit major Indian cities within 30 days

72%
probability · 53% confidence · 30 days
India's power grid stress now elevated by fertilizer shortage cascading into agricultural demand shock. Rolling blackouts more likely as fertilizer-dependent sectors reduce load shedding pressure, but electricity demand compression offsets grid strain. Upgrading from 61% to 72%.
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Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.