DR Congo Ebola Contacts Lost: Contact tracers report 40%+ loss of tracked individuals within 14 days

92%

probability · 73% confidence · 14 days

Contact tracing collapse signal now confirmed at 40%+ loss. Healthcare worker strike settlements stalled. System degradation accelerating faster than prior modeling. Probability of 40%+ loss maintained or worsening is very high.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.