Lebanon Crisis Deepens: Over 1.5 million civilians displaced by June 1

99%

probability · 76% confidence · 68 days

Same reasoning as df2c3078—Lebanon displacement already at 1.5M+ per alerts. May 31 deadline within active combat window. Probability confirmed at ceiling.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.