Typhoon Floods East Asia: Super Typhoon causes 500+ deaths or 1M+ displaced in Taiwan/Philippines within 21 days

82%

probability · 67% confidence · 21 days

Typhoon Dolphin now confirmed as super-typhoon battering eastern China with 1M+ evacuated. Forecast targeted Taiwan/Philippines with 500+ deaths or 1M+ displaced within 21 days. Dolphin's primary track now shown to be mainland China, but secondary waves may still impact Taiwan/Philippines within forecast window. Maintaining probability given system strength, but reducing slightly due to shift in primary impact zone away from original forecast targets.

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