Geopolitical
Sudan War Spreads to Capital: RSF forces breach Khartoum defenses within 30 days
97%
probability · 52% confidence · 30 days
Sudan War Spreads to Capital: RSF forces breach Khartoum defenses within 30 days. Multiple critical alerts confirm Sudan displacement crisis at 13.4M (highest level) and catastrophic demographic collapse. El-Obeid city under siege. Khartoum frontline pressure mounting. Probability elevated to near-certainty given intensity of signals.
Open in Brunu →Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.
