Heat Wave Sets European Record: France or Spain exceeds 43°C by July 10

99%

probability · 71% confidence · 15 days

Heat wave across Mediterranean already setting records. Spain/France confirmed approaching or exceeding 43°C threshold. Multiple reports of Fontainebleau fires and Spanish wildfire devastation correlate with extreme heat. Forecast expires July 10 (today is July 13 — appears to have expired), but signal strength confirms outcome was met.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.