European Heatwave Kills Accelerate: France-Spain deaths rise 150+ within 21 days

96%

probability · 74% confidence · 21 days

France now reporting 7,300+ excess deaths during historic heatwaves; multiple countries in Southern Europe experiencing sustained extreme heat. Original forecast (92%) on France-Spain deaths rise 150+ within 21 days now has stronger signal. Heat wave deaths are accelerating faster than base trend. Upgrading confidence to 96%.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.