Trump Envoys Strike Deal Fast: US-Russia-Ukraine peace talks yield preliminary ceasefire framework within 14 days

35%

probability · 28% confidence · 14 days

Trump envoys Witkoff and Kushner in Kyiv after Putin talks, but Russia resumes bombardment. Ceasefire framework unlikely in 14-day window. Signals suggest posturing rather than imminent deal. Probability should be lowered.

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