Smoke Kills Thousands: Indonesia wildfire pollution exceeds 3,500 deaths by November 15

78%

probability · 72% confidence · 16 days

Indonesia wildfire smoke death toll confirmed at 3,500 for September alone; dry season extends through November. New signals show ongoing crisis trajectory. Probability raised +6 points due to sustained health impact and seasonal persistence.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.