Pakistan's Child HIV Crisis Explodes: Sindh reports 500+ pediatric HIV cases by August 15

79%

probability · 72% confidence · 30 days

Pakistan child HIV outbreak accelerating faster than initial assessment. Al Jazeera reports 'major crisis' in Sindh; healthcare worker strike parallels DRC Ebola healthcare collapse. Supply chain contamination and delayed interventions suggest 500+ threshold will be exceeded by Aug 15. Upgrading from 72% to 79% based on outbreak velocity signals.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.