OpenAI IPO Momentum Builds: SEC approves S-1 registration statement or formal IPO roadshow begins by June 25

68%

probability · 68% confidence · 16 days

OpenAI confidentially files IPO paperwork per NY Times. Confidential submission process typically takes 30-45 days pre-approval, but AI boom momentum and existing investor frenzy could accelerate. Base rate tech_ipo (30 days: 15%) anchors conservatively. S-1 approval or formal roadshow initiation within 16 days is plausible but not certain — depends on SEC review velocity and whether confidential process accelerates public filing. High-profile AI IPO signals suggest regulatory interest in fast-tracking.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.