Brent Oil Breaks $105: Crude surges above $105/barrel within 14 days on Iran escalation

48%

probability · 38% confidence · 14 days

Live Brent: $105.74 already above $105/barrel threshold. Forecast asks if crude surges above $105 within 14 days. Current price indicates high probability of threshold being met/sustained. Updated from 42% to 48% to reflect immediate threshold satisfaction.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.