Syria Exodus Accelerates: 13.6M+ Syrians internally displaced by April 28

97%

probability · 71% confidence · 2 days

Syria facing unprecedented 13.3 million internal displacement crisis per critical alert. Original forecast set threshold at 13.6M by April 28. Current signals suggest 13.3M+ already achieved, making 13.6M by April 28 highly probable. Already near threshold; maintain elevated confidence.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.