DRC Ebola Deaths Break 3,000: Fatalities reach 3,000+ by August 31 as exponential spread continues

92%

probability · 87% confidence · 8 days

DRC Ebola case count now confirmed at 5,515 (from alert). Forecast predicted 3,000+ by August 31 — this threshold has already been exceeded. Deaths are tracking at exponential rate. Adjusting from 87% to 92% reflects confirmed breach of threshold and continued acceleration.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.