Famine Coming Fast: South Sudan declared full-scale famine emergency by May 10

99%

probability · 78% confidence · 22 days

Sudan situation mirrors South Sudan. Already at 20M acute hunger. IPC classification imminent. No change to 99% — remains highest confidence forecast in portfolio. Manually resolved 2026-05-19: confirmed event occurred within the forecast window.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.