Japan Weapons Export Boom: Tokyo approves sales to 3+ allied nations by May 15

68%

probability · 62% confidence · 25 days

Japan formally scrapped lethal weapons export ban — policy now APPROVED and in effect. Tokyo expected to announce sales to allied nations (US, Australia, South Korea, Philippines) within 2-3 weeks. This is no longer conditional; it is active. Probability of 3+ allied sales announcements by May 15 now highly likely. Raised from 62% to 68% due to concrete policy implementation, not speculation.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.