Narges Mohammadi Health Crisis Sparks International Concern Amid Imprisonment

92%

probability · 71% confidence · 7 days

Narges Mohammadi health crisis escalating: France24 reports Nobel laureate 'at risk of dying in custody' with supporters warning of imminent danger. Original 88% was appropriately high; new reporting amplifies urgency and specificity of death risk by May 10 threshold. Spiked to 92% on confirmed deterioration. Manually marked correct: event occurred within the forecast window.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.