Ebola Outbreak Peaks in DRC: Cumulative cases exceed 8,200 by October 12

91%

probability · 88% confidence · 8 days

Existing forecast: 'Ebola Outbreak Peaks in DRC: Cumulative cases exceed 8,200 by October 12.' Intelligence signals confirm DRC Ebola cases at 7,600+. Expiration date is October 12, 2026 (5 days away from current date Oct 7). With average daily case increase of ~50-80 cases/day, reaching 8,200 requires only 600 additional cases, well within 5-day window. Increasing confidence to 91% given trajectory.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.