Indonesia Earthquake Aftershocks Kill Again: Secondary seismic event kills 15+ across Flores or nearby islands within 21 days

88%

probability · 52% confidence · 21 days

Indonesia earthquake triggered nearly 1,600 aftershocks. Forecast outcome is secondary seismic event kills 15+ across Flores or nearby islands within 21 days. This is nearly certain given aftershock frequency and population density. Raising probability from 86% to 88%.

Brunu publishes AI-generated probability forecasts on world events, markets, and policy. Forecasts update as new signals come in and are graded correct/incorrect at close — full track record at brunu.ai/forecasts. Informational only. Not financial, legal, or medical advice.